Friday 7 March 2014

Finding and implication

For the Japanese government, they gradually began to implement an open domestic financial market policy to make the interest rate of Yen liberalizing in the 1970s. Then the adjustment of financial and monetary policy has facilitated the emergence of the housing bubble. For the US government, in order to foster economic growth, they encourage excessive consumption in the whole society. Moreover, financial institutions lack of supervision and lure people consuming and speculating in the market (views of Bernanke and Greenspan).

Compared with the Japanese and the US housing bubble, despite the historical background is different, but they have the common characteristics. Firstly, the irrational industrial structure in the real estate market and the stock market result in growth of capital flows, as well as the financial leverage and speculative activities, causes the housing bubble and stock market bubble. Secondly, the two countries implement financial liberalization policies. With the higher degree of financial liberalization, the international investment will seek new profit and enter the market when the economy starts to overheat then blowing the bubble. Thirdly, the real estate economy account for a large proportion of the national economy, the fluctuations in the real estate market will cause macroeconomic shocks.




see the report here

For the Chinese government, the first step is strengthening financial supervision system to avoid large amount of credit funds into nonproductive sectors to cause bubble. Secondly, to restrict intervention of banks in the real estate market and publish loan criteria. Next, establish a national system of early warning and forecasting real estate market. Meanwhile, take care about the excessive international capital flows in the Chinese market. Finally, reform of how to reduce the gap between poor and rich and remain the stability of housing price should be considered.


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